The cryptocurrency rallied a few days back, but now, it has moved closer to 38.2% Fib level. Investors are enthusiastic that as it remains at this level for some time, and stabilize. The next move in Bitcoin price will take it to the 61.8% Fib level. This is when the hike in the price of the cryptocurrency will occur towards $4,200. However, after the surge in price, the upcoming weeks will see the Bitcoin falling swiftly to $3,000.
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The truth is that if this move fails to occur, there may not be an improvement in the value of the digital currency. Also, this movement will enable the “bullish gartly pattern” we saw on the BTC/USD 4H chart to become a reality. Also, we are expecting that the Bitcoin price will decline the same way it has been recovering since early February.
Why this week’s closing price matters
Presently, Bitcoin price is still trading above what the intrinsic value is showing on larger time frames. However, we can see adequate room to accommodate short-term rallies. The price at which Bitcoin closes this week is very critical. It will be a clear indication as to how the digital currency will move in the coming weeks.
If Bitcoin closes at a price above $4,000, we are hopeful that the correction may come from early next week. On the other hand, any price of around $3,800 might delay the correction until two weeks ahead. Right now, it is very clear that BTC/USD is still not stable yet. Meanwhile, before investors of the digital currency can start investing aggressively again, the price has to be above $6,000. However, if the price falls below what it is currently, investors will turn bearish.
There may be disagreements as to whether the cryptocurrency has hit its lowest level. One thing is clear. Currently, there is a higher possibility that the price might decline more instead of rising. That said, we don’t believe that the time is ripe for shorting the digital currency yet. From what we saw on the BTCUSDShorts chart, the total margined shorts is still holding on strong.
Future outlook of Bitcoin
Investors are expecting BTCUSDShorts to move towards the trend line resistance very soon. If the rejection is strong as expected, then BTC/USD will recover faster in the short term. When this occurs, the Bitcoin price will surge above $4,000. Bear in mind that if BTCUSDShorts break supports at 17,347, there may be a swift decline of sell pressure. This reduction in sell orders may cause the price to hike towards $6000.
The long-term move for Bitcoin, we are not sure that BTCUSDShorts will break support, but there is still a possibility. One thing that may happen is that BTCUSDShorts will face rejection as it tests the trend line resistance. When this happens, the result may lead to a fall back to its support line and also restarts the process. Finally, investors might start selling off their Bitcoin in panic thereby leading to huge drop very soon.
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Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Global Coin Report and/or its affiliates, employees, writers, and subcontractors are cryptocurrency investors and from time to time may or may not have holdings in some of the coins or tokens they cover. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency and read our full disclaimer.
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