Bitcoin Price At The Crossroads


The bitcoin price charts are not giving uniform indications for all exchanges and the divergence is a signal that investors in different localities have different expectations for trend. The charts are equally weighted toward both advance and continued decline. Analysis identifies a critical level that will signal the medium-term direction of trend.

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Bitcoin Price Analysis

Time of analysis: 05h24 UTC

BTC-China 1-Hour Chart

BTC-China 1-Hour Chart

From the analysis pages of xbt.social, earlier today:

Price is both above and below the 1hr 200MA in different exchange charts.

In the 1-hour BTC-China chart we see price trading above the red 200MA. This is also the case in the Huobi CNY chart, as well as some OKCoin USD futures charts. BTC-e, Bitstamp and Bitfinex are trading below their 1-hour 200MA.

As highlighted in the chart, above, price may well give up its position and resume decline below the 200MA. We have a trade recommendation prepared for this scenario, so we simply await the moving averages sell signal.

796.com, in the past hour, had declined strongly below its 200MA but it is uncertain whether that is a sign of things to come in the other exchanges or if it is just a result of the low liquidity in that futures exchange’s orderbook.

As the second circled instance in the chart above shows we could also see consolidation into an advance – provided the USD exchanges attain position above the 1-hour 200MA and then consolidate a base wave. The approximate location of an MA buy signal into advance is indicated with an arrow.

The two most powerful warriors are patience and time. – Leo Tolstoy

Summary

If price can attain position above the 1-hour 200-period moving average (red) across exchange charts, then we have a confirmation that another wave of advance is underway. If the CNY and futures charts relinquish their position above the 200MA, this weekend, then decline to $250, 1550 CNY, and perhaps lower is the outlook.

Bitfinex orderbook depth and Buy/Sell Volume:

 Bitfinex depth buysell volume 11h48 150815

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Disclaimer

The writer trades Bitcoin. Trade and Investment is risky. CCN.LA accepts no liability for losses incurred as a result of anything written in this Bitcoin price analysis report.

Bitcoin price charts from TradingView.
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