
According to crypto exchange Bitfinex, Bitcoin‘s path to recovery may depend on key market changes.
The platform believes that BTC could regain momentum in the coming weeks if three key factors converge.
Unlike previous bull cycles, where corrections were relatively small—typically between 18% and 22%—Bitcoin has now retreated nearly 30% from its all-time high of around $110,000.
This deeper retracement is more in line with historical bull market trends than the milder dips seen in this cycle. If Bitcoin stabilizes at current levels, past patterns suggest a potential rebound could follow.
Bitfinex highlights three key elements that could influence Bitcoin’s next move:
- ETF inflows—Increased demand from institutional investors through Bitcoin ETFs could provide the momentum needed for a turnaround.
- Macroeconomic factors – Economic conditions, including interest rate decisions and broader financial trends, will play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment.
- Liquidity conditions – A healthier liquidity environment could support BTC’s ability to recover, while tighter conditions could prolong the price’s sideways or downward movement.
If institutions increase their exposure to Bitcoin and market conditions improve, a renewed rally could begin. However, if uncertainty persists and risk appetite remains low, BTC could continue its consolidation or fall further.

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